The Myth of the Good Alien: on Skeptical Wishful Thinking

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Deutsche Version: Der Mythos des guten Außerirdischen: über das Skeptische Wunschdenken

ET the good alien with his young friend.

A good alien hugs the little child.

We all know that: while the thinking of religious people is dominated by
all sorts of irrational processes like confirmation bias, wishful
thinking, personalization and so forth, self-professed Skeptics are
(almost) always thinking rationally whereby their emotional states have
only a very small influence on their reasoning abilities. Almost all
conclusions they reach are well-grounded and it is Reason and evidence
alone which lead them to conclude that reductive materialism is true and
that one ought to mock and ridicule everyone disagreeing.

However to an outsider like me, it appears obvious that Skeptics are as prone
to cognitive and psychological biases as everyone else.

The whole idea that the overwhelming majority of intelligent space aliens are
beings full of empathy and love is a very representative example. Whilst
it is certainly not a belief held by all Skeptics, it is extremely
popular among many Skeptical circles around the worlds, especially those
actively supporting the Search for ExtraTerrestrial Intelligence (SETI)

Michael Shermer’s influential article The myth of Evil Aliens should always be used as a case study for this type of self-deception.

Michael Shermer trying to smile while wearing a nice suit.

Professional „Skeptic“ Michael Shermer.

I will let the FERMI-paradox
(if there are so many alien civilizations out there, why don’t we see
them?) aside and grant for the sake of the discussion that there are
actually countless extraterrestrial races in the universe.

The great astrophysicist Stephen Hawking expressed worries about one
possible consequence of contact with another intelligent race. As
Shermer reported it:

“According to Stephen Hawking, we should keep our mouths shut. “We only have to look at ourselves to see how intelligent life might develop into something we wouldn’t want to meet,” he explained in his 2010 Discovery Channel documentary series. “I
imagine they might exist in massive ships, having used up all the
resources from their home planet. Such advanced aliens would perhaps
become nomads, looking to conquer and colonize whatever planets they can
reach.” Given the history of encounters between earthly
civilizations in which the more advanced enslave or destroy the less
developed, Hawk­ing concluded:
“If aliens ever visit us, I think the outcome would be much as when
Christopher Columbus first landed in America, which didn’t turn out very
well for the Native Americans.”

While Hawking certainly does not think that every extraterrestrial civilization would
act in this way, his concerns sound quite reasonable to my mind. How
does Shermer dismiss it?

“I am skeptical.
Although we can only represent the subject of an N of 1 trial, and our
species does have an unenviable track rec­ord of first contact between
civilizations, the data trends for the past half millennium are
encouraging: colonialism is dead, slavery is dying, the percentage of
populations that perish in wars has decreased, crime and violence are
down, civil liberties are up, and, as we are witnessing in Egypt and
other Arab countries, the desire for representative democracies is
spreading, along with education, science and technology. These trends
have made our civilization more inclusive and less exploitative. If we
extrapolate that 500-year trend out for 5,000 or 500,000 years, we get a
sense of what an ETI might be like.

In fact, any civilization capable of extensive space travel will have moved far
beyond exploitative colonialism and unsustainable energy sources.
Enslaving the natives and harvesting their resources may be profitable
in the short term for terrestrial civilizations, but such a strategy
would be unsustainable for the tens of thousands of years needed for
interstellar space travel.

In this sense, thinking about extraterrestrial civilizations forces us to consider the nature and progress of our terrestrial civilization and offers hope that, when we
do make contact, it will mean that at least one other intelligence
managed to reach the level where harnessing new technologies displaces
controlling fellow beings and where exploring space trumps conquering
land. Ad astra!”

Now I believe that Shermer’s wishful thinking already begins with his
enumeration of the alleged current progresses of our own kind.

He leaves aside the harmful consequences of the wild capitalism and neocolonialism he actively supports.

This will be the topic of future posts. For the sake of this discussion I
will just assume that he is completely right with respect to human moral

At face value, his reasoning seems compelling and reassuring. Shermer grants the obvious point we cannot answer this question empirically since we’re the only one subject in the sample, but we can, on logical grounds, conclude that any such advanced
species would have reached high moral standards in the same way mankind
is heading towards that goal. So, we’ve good grounds for thinking that
interstellar traveling aliens are peaceful and loving.

Yet a closer examination shows that such an argumentation lacks an important step.

In order to get an advanced alien civilization full of love and empathy,
the following conditions must be successively satisfied:

1) On an ideal planet, an intelligent species emerges through evolutionary processes

2) This species evolves a strong propensity for love, empathy and altruism (LEA) besides other instincts

3) Through a technological and cultural evolution, this species designs
social, political and ethical structures which allow LEA to be optimally

I tend to agree with Shermer’s optimism that given enough time, the extraterrestrial civilization is going to develop structures and ethical principles leading its basic moral instincts to be expressed in a maximal way.

The emergence of evil aliens

But this is the sticking point: what if the species lacks LEA and has evolved other ways to become a powerful intelligent race?

Given the extraordinarily high number of possible places where intelligent
life could evolve in the universe (let alone in the multiverse!), it seems almost certain there will be countless worlds with intelligent beings having moral intuitions radically different from ours.

And I’ve never read or heard any reason to think otherwise which does not beg the question in one way or the other.

A reptilian evil alien with malicious red eyes.

Evil aliens might very well evolve too.

And this clearly greatly undermines atheistic attempts to define an
objective morality. If our moral intuitions are evolutionary contingent,
we cannot assume they are true in an absolute sense any more than
another intelligent species with conflicting intuitions could do.

And if evolution (or more generally nature) does not define what is right
and wrong, how can a worldview denying the existence of any kind of
transcendence provide us with a grounding for morality?

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2 Antworten zu The Myth of the Good Alien: on Skeptical Wishful Thinking

  1. Pingback: Homepage | Shards of Magonia / Scherben von Magonia

  2. Candice schreibt:

    So, let me start by saying, I have watched next to no t.v. since May 2015. Started listening to only Christian radio in January 2015.

    I will go ahead and draw the conclusion for you, then show how I have connected the dots: aliens aka the fallen angels (demons) are in a world inside of the earth.. think Lord of the Rings… I haven’t watched them but I know that’s the concept… anyway, the entrance to the center being the north pole. This sounds soooooooo far out there, I know. Please bear with me on this. The fact is, I haven’t found anything except the one link this morning that draws this conclusion and it has biblical evidence to support this as truth. I know that when I was a little girl, I believed that the devil was underground. Somewhere, either the innocence of youth fading, or science began to persuade me to not believe in the underground hell. The fact is, however, science doesn’t know what lies deep beneath. They have only hypothesized the internal layers.

    1)Here’s a link to what science really knows:

    I have always thought aliens and ufo’s came from outerspace, as I am sure these demons would want us to believe (they are liars) I believe now, they are coming from „innerspace“ or rather the area inside of the earth. Please bear with me… and continue reading, don’t count this out, yet.

    2)There is no reason really to listen to this. It sparked my mind back to center of the earth… she kept calling the sounds of the horn metallic sounding… which lead me to remember that azazul was the one who „was the god of metal“ this will refer you to the YouTube 45:50 Mark with ***(5th point) anyway here is link I first saw this a.m. in newsfeed that lead me back to the bread crumbs.. even though I have been trying to resist following them:

    3)This is the original piece of information that opened my mind to the possibility of the north pole being of significance:

    4) (you don’t have to watch… this is just something that helped connect the dots. It never said anything about this, but lead me to correlate the „north pole & Santa“ towards the idea that this really may be the gate to hell.

    5)This is an extremely long video, I have only been able to watch somewhere over an hour or so, it is a wealth of knowledge so far. : 37 min. Mark ******45:50 important… you may just want to listen only to this.

    6)This is what tied everything together for me. It is loooong. I got up at 2:30 this morning and watched above video from a post on my newsfeed, then thought to to search this. I read it till around 4:05 then slept till 6:30 or so. Woke up, read the rest, and now have went back through previous articles to connect the dots for you to see. Here is the link:

    2 recent links about North Pole, arctic region.




    The following are from this site:

    The ONLY 3 I have looked into in order of importance:



    Anzu– I can see little importance as to significance of this one. Maybe the possible correlation to flying saucers, but I have no clue.

    I would like to also make an observation without researching anything else…
    It is to be noted the invention of the automobile and the need for oil. The fact that no alternative fuel sources have been made accessible to the public. Seems not only is the love of $$$ and greed made this possible, but maybe demonic influence on top of that. The pollution this substance makes when it is used (oil) is helping to melt the ice caps, also. The fight over who gets the prized oil in the arctic is ironic, since it may lead to hell. When we got away from the natural order of things on the quest for „advancement“ the advancement for some will be AWESOME( being called to be a part of the new earth with Jesus and God, and the angels I am sure) while others the advancement will be to forever be in the fire pit of hell, or lake of fire.

    10) just for kicks to lighten the mood:

    11)I just thought of a couple of ways the illuminati has alluded to this location.

    Superman and the fortress of solitude:



    And you know Disney had to get on this! ****FROZEN*****


    ******** ***

    The spookiest part of the deal, children, little girls, millions… loving this song. „Let the storm rage on, the cold never bothered me anyway“


    Finally, because The Simpson’s seem to predict the future, on occasion (notice North Pole and ‚cave‘, also, final level is HOLLYWOOD.):


    This is could be why Obama said climate change is a national security threat…
    What Obama has said:

    This may take several hours to look over, I don’t know, I tried to condense the information as much as possible. Seems like all other theories of assorted topics lead to this in the very end. The key to unlock the „pit“ (think peach pit/ Apple core) who knows what the key actually will be…. anyway, I just thought I might be able to shine light on this topic.

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